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Validity, credibility, and applicability: the rise and rise of the surrogate
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The elusiveness of outcome data of direct relevance to patients makes research in anaesthesia, pain, and critical care a challenge. Surrogate measures are used for several reasons. Instead of measuring the risk of organ injury, death, or long-term personality change after surgery and anaesthesia, we often measure arterial pressure,1 partial pressure of carbon dioxide, hospital stay, or short-term cognitive performance. Is the use of such proxy outcome measures justified? In modelling research, we often turn to physical or theoretical models, generating a single, idealized or typical subject upon which to experiment. Is such substitution of reality with simulation reasonable? In basic science, the individual components of physiology or pharmacology are studied in relative isolation. Is it
University Department of Anaesthesia
Queen's Medical Centre
Nottingham NG7 2UH
UK
* E-mail: j.hardman@nottingham.ac.uk